Deep Dives.
Bitcoin, macro and markets — newest first.
- Deep DivesMACRO
Breakeven Inflation Adds Macro Context
Bitcoin is trading defensively ahead of the Federal Reserve decision while breakeven inflation provides a framework for interpreting nominal and inflation-indexed Treasury yields.
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The CLARITY Vote Meets a 5% Treasury Market
Regulatory progress could lower Bitcoin's institutional risk premium, but a near-certain Fed hike and a 5% Treasury yield are tightening the real economy.
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Realized Price Frames Bitcoin Cost Basis
Realized price provides an on-chain framework for studying Bitcoin’s aggregate historical cost basis, but no live reading is available in this review.
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The Oil Shock Is Forcing a Global Rate Reset
Oil above $100 is colliding with sticky inflation, rising Treasury yields, election-year fiscal pressure and synchronized Fed and BOJ decisions.
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The Global Bond Market Is Repricing
US Treasuries, Japanese government bonds, UK gilts and German Bunds are selling off for different reasons, but the common result is a higher global cost of capital.
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The Dollar Squeeze Hits Bond Markets
The Dollar Milkshake framework helps explain why a stronger dollar, changing Japanese capital flows and sovereign-bond stress can pressure Bitcoin before supporting its longer-term monetary case.
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How The Bitcoin Signal Reads Markets
A practical framework for separating durable market information from short-term noise.
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